Economistas de la OMC han revisado a la baja su previsión de crecimiento del comercio mundial en 2014, hasta el 3,1% (frente a la tasa del 4,7% pronosticada en abril) y han reducido del 5,3% al 4,0% su estimación para 2015.

• World merchandise trade volume expected to rise 3.1% in 2014 as import demand in resource rich regions and China weakens and as Europe stagnates.

• Trade growth should pick up in 2015 to 4%, which is still below the average for the last 20 years (1993-2013) of 5.2%, but risks abound in the form of geopolitical tensions, regional conflict and health crises (Ebola).

• Imports of the EU finally recovered their level of mid-2011 in the latest quarter after rising 2.7% since the first quarter of 2013.

• Imports of Developing economies and CIS stalled in the first half of 2014, rising just 0.5% for the year to date compared to 4.7% in 2013.

• Trade growth is slow but steady in the United States, 2.8% on the export side and 3.5% on the import side for the year to date.

Documento completo en: http://www.wto.org/english/news_e/pres14_e/pr722_e.pdf

Fuente: OMC